Favorite Win Plus/Draw Betting Strategy
Have you ever wondered what is a Favorite Win Plus/Draw Betting Strategy? In this article, we would be discussing combining a favorite team win stake and a draw stake. A favorite team stake as we all know means placing bets on a well-known team of high quality and frequent wins.
Most bettors go for this kind as the chances of winning are high. This kind of stake comes with very little odds ranging from 1.15 – 1.40 depending on the team.
Teams like Bayern and Dortmund in the Bundesliga always have their odds to win varying between 1.15 – 1.30. For draw stakes, how it works? Draw stakes are most times overlooked by punters because they have this mindset that teams either win or lose. The opportunity for a draw is always very slim.
Sports Betting Strategy: Bet With Low Risk
What is being said in essence is that Dortmund fans, for example, most times bet on Dortmund to win while Bayern fans tend to bet on Bayern to win. If no one is backing up a particular betting market, the odds of the market gets to increase. While the odds of Frequently chosen markets get to reduce. This explains why odds for “draws” is always way more than that of “straight wins”.
For instance, a draw could initially have odds of 9/4; but due to lack of bets on it the odds get to increase to 5/2 or sometimes 3/1.
How about the probabilities of draws in sports betting?
Favorite teams like Bayern and Dortmund, are not incentivized to settle for a draw. However, this doesn’t mean draws don’t happen.
Draw varies with leagues, in lower leagues like; Chinese leagues or Japanese leagues draws are rampant while in higher leagues like; The English Premier League and The German Bundesliga draw are less. Statistics were carried out to measure the number of draws in some leagues.
The table below shows the percentage of draws in The EPL, German Bundesliga, and UEFA Champions League from 2017-2020.
Tournament 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020
The EPL 26.10% 18.70% 24.20%
Bundesliga 26.90% 24.40% 23.00%
UCL 21.90% 27.40% 24.40%
From this table, one can deduce that draws occur more in UCL fixtures. Back to combining a favorite win and a draw which is the main theme, you should combine the favorite win with individual draws. Making the total number of games 8 with total odds of 4.50.
In some cases, the games might not be up to 8 since the odds of draws are always >3.00. If the favorite team loses the match the bet is, but the team wins alongside some draws. The profit would still be made.
Rather than using this strategy for pre-match, you could also use it during live games. Although the odds get reduced because the games are in progress. Usin9g this strategy on live games is a bit risky but also ensures swift earnings. That is, you don’t have to wait for 90minutes before you start calculating your profit.
