In sports betting, prop bets are becoming a more common form of betting every passing season. They are a good way to bring an action to a game, even if you’re not overly sure about the game’s outcome. Although prop bets can be some exciting bets to make, many pitfalls come with the terrain. For instance, Super Bowl props have been common for years, but many of them are among the least likely to help you generate a positive return on investment. In this article, I will do my best to give you a plan on how to avoid these traps and how to make the most of my money by making prop bets.
Table of content:
- It’s not an accurate Science
- Don’t bet on the Coin Toss
- Bet the First Team to Score
- Mix it up
- Win Totals Strategy
- Strategies for Betting on Win Totals
It’s not an accurate Science
Several prop bets are accurate, they give decent odds, and they have bets that are drooling over them. Although some are worth looking at, there is an explanation why the odds are so enticing. It’s because your chances of winning are too bad.
We all read the story about the Rams guy who wagered to score precisely three points in the Super Bowl. That’s an awful bet. One that came through, but still an awful gamble. It’s almost impossible to bet the exact number of points in a game. Weird things happen, and if you win, you profit big but think about the exact bets very hard before you place them.
Don’t bet on the Coin Toss
It’s a 50/50 shot, but most sportsbooks give you-110 odds, some even-115 or-120. These types of arbitrary prop bets have become very attractive over the last few years. Yes, it’s fun. Yeah, you might be the guy who boasts that the national anthem is one second over his estimated time and all the money you’ve earned because of it, but it just comes down to chance. We’re looking to get good luck out of the equation.
Bet the First Team to Score
Wait, but isn’t that 50/50, too? It’s a little random, but it’s definitely not 50/50. In most sports, apart from basketball, there is typically a much superior team at the offensive end and most likely to score first. With baseball, you also have the added benefit of understanding which team battles first. Normally, the odds for the favorite in these types of bets are not scandalous, and there are occasions when you can get a decent underdog that is +odds. These are bets you can put some consideration into to sort out.
Mix it up
Several new punters are going to concentrate on one thing they fully comprehend. Everyone knows touchdowns, total yards, rebounds, points, goals, and home runs, but if you start looking at some other bets, you can actually make a kill. Look at the patterns of the teams. Look at the reasons why players did or did not do well before selecting their totals. Take a look at how teams usually score.
Win Totals Strategy
One of the most popular bets that sportsbooks give in all sports is the team’s win total of the season. Casual betting players who may not have the energy or time to bet on their favorite sports regularly during the season may find the win total of a team just as satisfying in the preseason. Placing a bet like this is one of the few opportunities to stay engaged all year long. In this article, I’ll take a close look at how to determine the team’s win totals futures properly, along with strategies for making rational wagers.
Strategies for Betting on Win Totals
Analyze the Schedule
When forecasting the win total of a team, it is also just as necessary to project the other teams’ strengths that they are set to play. It is also crucial to take note of the rest of the division when evaluating the schedule. No matter what the sport (MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL) is, the team always plays more games against divisional rivals. In the NFL, for instance, a team plays six of its 16 games (37.5 percent) against the other three teams in its division. Thus, if a team is predicted to be in a strong or poor division, it will go a long way to determine the amount of success it is expected to have.
Give Heed to Off-season Moves
A sportsbook can definitely make a complete win in a team’s off-season transactions in its season, and so can you. Did the team make any trades or have any free agents signed? Is the coaching staff unchanged, or have they brought in new people? Do they seem to be “going for it,” or are they in recovery mode? Who did they newly sign in, and would they have an impact this season? How would the moves made by the team impact their chemistry? These are all questions to be analyzed before you wager a complete win of the season.
Watch the Preseason
Whether it’s NHL or NFL preseason, spring training, or summer league basketball games, it’s crucial to watch teams in the preseason. This gives insight into how new acquisitions are being used. It also provides a better understanding of the club’s depth and the coaching staff’s techniques. Also, while it is difficult to foresee injuries throughout the season, every preseason injury offers bettors a chance to change their predictions accordingly.
Compare the lines of various sportsbooks
Before you dive in and make the first bet you want, shop around and compare it to other sportsbooks. For instance, the total win of a specific NFL team might be 8.5 wins at one platform and eight wins at another. The half-win could mean the difference between pushing your bet or losing it. In sports like baseball that play more games, a team’s overall win can vary by two-three wins in different areas. Do your thorough research and look for the best possible path.
Check what happened in previous years
The previous accomplishments or defeats of a team are not necessarily representative of how the next season will be played out. There are, however, some aspects that are worth learning to bettors. Usually, does the team start sluggish and then get better as the season progresses? If the team starts solid, is the front office proactive in adding parts to the contestant? Did the wounds hinder them from achieving their full potential? It is prudent to research past trends in the projection of how a team can work in the future.