Over 0.5 Goals Betting Strategy
Football betting and sports betting are generally unpredictable. However, a couple of football betting markets with a very high probability of winning the over 0.5 goals strategy are among them.
While some football matches end in a 0-0 draw, more often than not, one team scores at least one goal inside the 90 minutes of the game. Fortunately, that’s what you need from a bet of over 0.5 goals.
Table of content:
- Over 0.5 Goals Betting Strategy
- Read the game
- Take a look at Leagues
- Conclusion of Over 0.5 Goals Betting Strategy
What is the Over 0.5 Goals Market?
The over 0.5 goal market is essentially a market where you’re betting that there’s at least one goal in a soccer game. There can be any number of goals; as long as there’s at least one, you’re going to win your bet.
The only outcome you can lose is 0-0.
Live Betting On The Total Number Of Goals As A Sports Betting Strategy
Why should you bet on over 0.5 targets?
Betting on more than 0.5 goals can be appealing because of the high likelihood of succeeding. Just 5-10 percent of matches in major European soccer leagues end with a score of 0-0, so you can win a high percentage of your bets on this market.
It can also be interesting to bet on this market as you can go crazy on a goal for either team, not concerned about whose going to win but only wanting the ball to cross the goal line and hit the back of the net at some point during the match, and you can scream GOOOAAALLLLL at the top of your lungs.
It can be incredibly enticing to teams who play soccer and are unlikely to draw a blank. We’ll take a look at this in more depth below.
The other justification for betting on the over 0.5 goal market is that it has very high liquidity. This means that there is a considerable amount of money on the market, and you will get good value in the vast majority of scenarios.
Disadvantages of backing Over 0.5 Goals
Of course, since there is such a high likelihood that there will be at minimum one goal in most games, the overs’ odds are low. It’s always between 1.05 and 1.1.
But any time you get it back, you don’t win a lot unless you put a considerable stake in it.
Plus, it can be annoying to wait through a game where there are no goals scored, hoping that the deadlock will be dissolved right up until the 90th minute, only to be disappointed.
Teams Vulnerability That Can Help You Gain On Second-half Over 1.5 Goals Bet In A Football Matchnted.
The Best Bookmakers for over 0.5 Goals
Nowadays, most bookmakers have plenty of in-play markets to get your teeth stuck in for over 0.5 goals.
We find that Betfair usually has very decent odds on the over/under 0.5 goal market as well as Bet 365.
Over 0.5 Goals Betting Tactic
Now we’re going to dig in at the 0.5 betting plan. With the odds being relatively low for over 0.5 goals, there can be value in handling it in a specific way to just back it up and let it run.
The first move to look for in this over 0.5 goals approach is teams that are usually involved in high-scoring games – so teams that both score and concede goals. We want leaky defences and effective attacks that give us hope for a goal.
You may use a platform like soccer stats to get full information about the teams and their scoring performance. Look for teams with a very high number of games without 0-0. The list of teams below indicates the teams that had a range of matches without a goalless draw.
Common Bet Types – Focus on Over/Under in Combination Bets
Stats for 2015/16 Season
- Real Madrid: 32 games without a 0-0 in a row
- Barcelona: only one game finished 0-0 all season
- Liverpool: No games finished 0-0 at home
- PSV: no games finished 0-0 all season
So, what you’re doing is back over 0.5 goals at the start of the game. In some instances, it can be as low as 1.05.
While this does not seem to be of great importance on the face of it, when you remember that all the teams mentioned above have more than 30 games without 0-0, it clearly reflects exceptional value.
Another factor to look at is the sides with foremost defenders absent and are thus more likely to concede goals than the odds might indicate. This may have substantial value.
Alternative Approach
An alternative over 0.5 goals approach is to hesitate until the game has begun and then look to take advantage of the opportunities when they occur.
In this strategy, you wait until the second half and then determine how the game has progressed.
You can use in-play software like the In-Play Scanner to identify scenarios where many chances are being generated, and a goal is likely to be scored.
The odds would usually move in line with how much of the game has progressed and the odds at the start instead of how open the game is, so if you could somehow find matches, where shot attempts are raining in the goal and chances, are being made, you might find some fantastic value.
You can also use websites like Flash scores, which have live stats, including possessions, the number of shots on and off-target, and corners for each game, which provides a clear insight into how the game is progressing.
If you’re prepared to wait until the last half hour of the game, there can be a lot of incentives as the chances of more than 0.5 goals shift dramatically out.
It’s more dangerous to wait until the last half hour, but if it’s an open game with many goal attempts, it can pay to stake on the deadlock that’s broken.
Betting On Low Odds As A Sports Betting Strategy
Read the game
You’re going to get some nap, of course, where there’s so little goalmouth action, where there’s so little hope of spinning around that you’d instead be watching paint dry. But the way to look at this Over 0.5 goals in-game strategy is to keep a watchful eye on the stats in the game.
If you can find a match that is 0-0 with 30 minutes to play, but there are lots of attempts in the game, either by one side or by both, then it might be worth taking the in-play over 0.5 odds option.
Take a look at Leagues
Don’t just dive into a league for this, instead try to broaden your horizons a little. In reality, this is good advice for any betting strategy. For example, in the 2017 Norwegian premier league, 94 percent of all matches produced at least one goal.
Australia’s 2017/18 A-League had 97% of all games scoring a goal, and 82% of league games scored at least two goals. So these are the kind of stuff that can raise your chances of coming back from over 0.5 goals bets. Those are higher percentages than the English premier league of the previous season.
How to Play Combination Bets With High Odds?
Conclusion of Over 0.5 Goals Betting Strategy
The over 0.5 goals market is an easy one to wager on as all you require is one goal to be scored to win your bet.
In general, the odds are very low to bet on this market – often between 1.05 and 1.1.
This does not mean that there are no ways to make money out of a strong over 0.5 goals strategy either – if you look at specific players, certain scenarios, and follow in-run games, you might make the market profit you.
