Live Betting on Outsiders at Betting Exchanges

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Live Betting on Outsiders at Betting Exchanges

You always wanted to know more about Live Betting on Outsiders at Betting Exchanges? Firstly, can you count how often you have been wrong tipping a favorite to win? An unexpected dismissal, stars in the form crisis, or just bad luck in front of goal, and at the final whistle, you see the underdog cheering? Surely, you definitely have seen that. This brings on to the choice to deal intensively with betting on outsiders.

Of course, the sometimes dizzying high odds immediately is something that catches the eye, and as you can see, the supposedly clear favorites don’t win always. Take for example in the 2019/20 season in the German Bundesliga, the favorite teams won under two-thirds of the games during the first half of the season. In individual cases, it can be worthwhile to go for the high odds of the blatant outsiders.

Usually, only a few games in the whole league have it where the odds differ widely. Often the odds are closer together, between 2:00 and 4:00. As an outsider tip, we would therefore consider bets on odds above 4.00. But then, how often do they come? Well, we’ll see that soon enough.

Table of content:

  1. Live Betting on Outsiders at Betting Exchanges
  2. Outsider Betting in Practical Terms
  3. During the first 30 minutes, there are three likeliness to happen

Outsider Betting in Practical Terms

As aforementioned, in the first half of the 2019/20 Bundesliga season, almost 18 percent of the games achieved a 1X2 result that previously had a rate of 4.00 or higher. That means: Converted into one or two games per game day, an outsider result would have to be achieved!

Betting on big underdogs means betting on odds of 10 and even more. It is therefore a question of betting on results that a priori have only very minimal chances of being achieved. In reality, a score of 10 means that the bookmaker thinks that this outcome has a 10% chance of happening which is really very, very little. Odds of 10 and above equate to big outsiders.

It is true that the odds of play which evolve in an interval of @ 2 to @ 10, or even more, are by nature more attractive, however, it must be kept in mind that the insurance of gains is significantly less established. Here again, a systematic live bet on the outsider would be futile. You don’t make money in the game that easily. You will therefore have to opt for a few bets on the underdogs and, if possible, opt for the winning bets to earn enough money. So what strategy will guide your decision-making and how do you make enough money live betting on underdogs? Let’s use a practical example to explain;

In a game between Chelsea and Fulham, it’s obvious that Chelsea stands a better chance at winning but then, you feel that there’s a possibility of Fulham causing an upset… then you don’t bet on it until the game begins. Let’s take that the odds placed on Fulham is 15 odds to win against Chelsea’s 1.56 odds.

In the first 30 minutes of the match, Fulham happens to have survived the attacks from Chelsea attackers and even more, threatened to score than expected, then you can begin to prepare your bet. During this period, the value offered to the underdog team begins to diminish because the bookmaker can see that the odds against the outsider was underestimated. Now, wagering a lay on the outsider makes your stake realistic, up to 10-20%.

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During the first 30 minutes, there are three likeliness to happen

1.      The score is a tie – At this point, there’s no outscoring between the two teams. Fulham’s odds would have dropped to about 12 odds. Placing an eager of about 62.5 naira on the underdog would give you a potential profit of about 25% profit. Profit is calculated by dividing the quote odds (15) by the quote back (12) – 1; 15/12 – 1 = 25%.

2.     Chelsea leads – Well, they’re the favorites to win but somehow, it’s not what you want. You can still save about 10-20% of your stake

3.     Fulham is winning –  Great, If you lay your stake on Fulham, you can get 3-5 times of your stake, which you can withdraw, or if you’re so certain, you can agree for the underdog to win it all, so you can get the entire 15 quotas.

So that’s it. Simple, is it? Well, you really can’t say until you try it out. Only then can you guarantee complexity.

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