First Half Betting & Trading Markets
Have you ever wanted to learn more about First Half Betting & Trading Markets and what to Consider Before Using This Strategy? After you must have followed and watched soccer for some time, you should not need the information to show you that there are usually a few goals in the first half of the matches.
This is why seasoned traders frequently split their tactics into the first and second half. They know that teams are more likely to start the game solidly in many situations, with their main objective being to stop giving in.
This is particularly the case with underdog teams. However, the difference between the first-half and the second-half goals is not as wide as you would expect.
Before we move on, here is a generalized pattern when it comes to football goals. By merely knowing and recalling these key figures and information about football scores and how market power can place you ahead of 90% of all football traders and bettors:
- 78% of the soccer matches end with at least two goals (over 1.50)
- On average, one goal is scored in the first half,
- Though there are, on average, a little under two goals in the second half;
- Most of the first-half goals will happen after the 15th minute (e.g., approximately 15th-45th minutes).
Table of content:
- First Half Betting & Trading Markets
- Things to Be Considered For The First Half Of Betting & Trading
- First Half Betting & Trading Strategies
- Complexities involved in the first half of betting & trading
- Conclusion
Things to Be Considered For The First Half Of Betting & Trading
Keep it Tight!
As always, you have the choice to concentrate on teams renowned for fast or slow starts. Last season, Brighton away from home were kings of the style of keeping things close with only one goal conceded in the first 15 minutes.
They scored nothing, too! There were twelve goals in Brighton away games in the 16-30-minute period.
The Late Half Fatigue
In the 2019/20 English Premier League season, 19.5 percent of all goals scored in the 31-45 minute period. Only the last 15 minutes saw more goals, and keep in mind that there is more stoppage time at the end of the matches than during the first half.
The two best teams in the league, Liverpool and Manchester City scored the most goals in the last 15 minutes of the first half.
First Half Betting & Trading Strategies
Under 2.5 Match Goals
If you think that a game is expected to have a poor onset, you can try an under 2.5 goal tactic to trade in the first half. It is also possible to quit a trade within 15 minutes with a good profit, as far as no goals are scored.
Early Windows Watching Brief
It is also wise to use the first 10-15 minutes to ‘sense’ what type of game it is. You will see if the favorite is at the top or if the underdog is giving a real counter-attack challenge. Seasoned traders often shun the early stages because there is not enough market action to warrant their participation. One exception is when there are wholesale changes to at least one team.
The added advantage to this is that you are also gaining extra value from the first half goal markets by putting your entry later in the match. One widely used strategy is to break the stakes by 50 percent in around 15/20 minutes (supposing the match play is encouraging), and the second stake is about 35 minutes.
Betting on the Favorite for a Half Time Lead
Typically, after 15 minutes, you have a good idea of what is likely to occur in the game. If you do not, it is probably not a successful first-half trading option. If the favorite team is maintaining possession and obviously in the ascendancy, you should bet on them to lead half time.
you can make a good return by cashing out if they score before the 30th minute, . If you do not, you can determine whether you want to risk betting on them all through to half-time or cashing out for a comparatively small loss.
Bet on the Upset
In soccer, you will find that the underdog team rarely wins for 90 minutes, but in the first half, it can create real problems. If you see that the favorite is losing or that the long odds team is daring, you might take the risk of betting a half-time lead on the underdog. You are supposed to get a decent deal, and if they score, you can cash out instantly.
Another approach to play this is to take a quick look at the game, and the underdog can take the lead. Then enter the market with either an underdog lay or a preferred pre-match back.
The Last Breakthrough
It can take a favorite longer than planned to get updated. However, they are usually at the top of the half-hour mark. As we found out earlier, powerful teams like Liverpool appear to score a lot of goals in the final half.
Weaker sides are also vulnerable to late compromises in the first half due to lack of focus. In a particular season, Bournemouth conceded 18 goals in the final 15 minutes of the first half.
Half-Time goals
This is a more straightforward choice and requires half-time support over or under goals. If you do not expect an early goal, it always pays to wait a few minutes if you like goals. Just 11.1 percent of the English Premier League’s goals last season were scored in the first 15 minutes of the first half.
If you are quite new to trading, it is worth watching the start of games with substantial liquidity to see how rapidly the market swings in the first few minutes. Through this method, you can learn when it is worth entering.
Complexities involved in the first half of betting & trading
Not paying attention to the first goal
Although just 11 percent of the goals are scored in the first 15 minutes, the game’s first goal is usually scored in about 30 percent of the games during this period. In fact, the opening goal remains the most common 15-minute block. It is also a mistake to conclude that the first half would have no more goals.
Shorter time intervals
The problem with the first half of betting and trading is that there is much less time to rebound if anything goes wrong. For instance, if you back an HT 0-0 and score a goal, you forfeit your full stake. Similarly, if you bet on the favorite to lead HT and the underdog scores, you would lose a significant proportion of your stake.
Conclusion
Irrespective of the team playing or what is at stake for either team, no team has ever had to win the first half. It is worth noting that no team will go all out to score while there is much value in the first half of the markets. So it is more of a risky strategy than betting in the second half of the matches.
See Also: Hedging In Sports Betting: What Is It?
